16

Walkmethroughit

6yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 85

Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y

#18

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went the wrong way over hurdles for J. D. Motherway last season. After 4 months off, looked in need of the experience sent chasing for this yard when seventh of 14 in handicap at Kilbeggan (2½m) in July. Tongue strap back on. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15823/08C8C8 @ Listowel 24/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 2m Yie 16624/09C8C8 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f200y Yie 16623/11C8C8 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f Sft 16629/12C8BHA90 @ Thurles 05/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 90 · 2m6f195y Sft 158 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 90 par5/0290OR 90BHA86 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 86 · 2m4f85y Gd 156 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 86 par24/0786OR 86projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA867th7th0
2026-03-12LimerickBHA880
2026-02-18PunchestownBHA880
2026-02-05ThurlesBHA907th7th0
2025-12-29Limerick?7th7th0
2025-11-23Cork?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0824/0923/1129/125/0224/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/202512th80/10%27%+0.27
24/09/20259th300/10%53%+0.53
23/11/20258th200/10%50%+0.50
29/12/20257th33/10%57%+0.57
05/02/20267th40/10%63%+0.63
24/07/20267th20/10%54%+0.54