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11

Wild Mandate

7yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 95

Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Benefited from an enterprising ride when getting off the mark in handicap hurdle at Sligo (3¼m) in July. Lesser efforts the last twice, though, ninth of 16 at Sligo on latest outing. Switches to cheekpieces as she makes chasing debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 15/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 15915/11C8C8 @ Sligo 13/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f180y Gd 153C0 @ Sligo 10/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f96y Goo 16510/06C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 25/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f200y Goo 151BHA91 @ Sligo 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 91 · 2m1f111y Gd 160 · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 91 par20/0891OR 91BHA94 @ Limerick 18/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 94 · 2m5f Yie 162 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 92 · 2m2f185y Gd 140 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 92 par14/0692OR 92BHA91 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 91 · 3m1f121y Gd 147 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 91 parBHA96 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 96 · 2m4f148y Gd 166 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 96 par19/0896OR 96projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19SligoBHA969th9th0
2026-08-02GalwayBHA970
2026-07-12SligoBHA911st1st0
2026-06-14DownpatrickBHA925th5th0
2025-10-18LimerickBHA9412th12th0
2025-08-20SligoBHA912nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1125/0714/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/20249th28/10%53%+0.53
13/05/20254th7/282%70%-0.12
10/06/20257th11/142%57%+0.15
25/07/20259th12/137%47%+0.10
20/08/20252nd14/126%88%+0.61
18/10/202512th25/10%27%+0.27
14/06/20265th9/153%64%+0.11
12/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
19/08/20269th9/153%47%-0.06