10

Eleen Alana

5yo Mare · 11-7

Downpatrick · Dunleath Flat Race · 2m 1f 165y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed miserably to back up the form of her debut third when down the field in 18-runner bumper at Galway (17f, good to soft) 48 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16116/07C?C0 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1651/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?14th14th0
2026-07-16Killarney?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -62.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20263rd40/10%86%+0.86
01/08/202614th66/10%24%+0.24