13

Loves A Laugh

4yo Filly · 11-5

Downpatrick · Dunleath Flat Race · 2m 1f 165y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off at 25/1 but offered something to work on when third of 10 in a 19f Downpatrick bumper in July. Proved too free when a remote third back there last time and will need to settle better here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m2f165y Gd 15714/07C?C0 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m2f185y Goo 1589/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Downpatrick?3rd3rd0
2026-07-14Downpatrick?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/079/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -99.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
09/08/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22