3

Old Court

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Downpatrick · Dunleath Flat Race · 2m 1f 165y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Pulled up sole start in points but did show a bit switched to Rules when fifth of 9 in 2m bumper at Killarney (good to soft) on debut 27 days ago, going in snatches but staying on gradually final 1f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 16122/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20265th66/10%50%+0.50