IvyArcIvyArc
5

Cyclone Code

2yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 80

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed more dash than on his first 2 outings returning from a 9-week break on the back of a gelding operation when third of 8 in 5f maiden at Navan (good) 16 days ago. This demands more, though. Engaged 2.52 Naas Thursday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 13011/05C8C0 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1281/07C?C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 1352/09C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 80 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 80 par17/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?4th4th0
2026-09-02Navan?3rd3rd0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2026-05-11Roscommon?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/051/072/0917/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -10.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
01/07/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
02/09/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
17/09/20264th15/261%57%-0.03