2
Hanney Boy
2yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 94
Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |