4

Walk On Harry

2yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 92

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

82%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved again when off the mark in a first-time tongue strap in 16-runner maiden at Cork (5f, good) 35 days ago. That form is proving solid, so has to be respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 13326/06C8C8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f GF 13124/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f Goo 13314/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cork?1st1st0
2026-07-24Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0624/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
24/07/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
14/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29