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3

Always Magic

2yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 83

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut well behind (had been gelded) when fourth of 16 in maiden at Cork a month ago. Backed that up equipped with a hood (discarded) when filling same spot at Navan (5f) and this step up to 6f promises to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 1315/06C?C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 5f Goo 13314/08C8C8 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 13327/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Navan?4th4th0
2026-08-14Cork?4th4th0
2026-06-05Fairyhouse?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0614/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
14/08/20264th50/10%80%+0.80
27/08/20264th10/147%57%+0.10