14

Moyanna Castle

2yo Filly · 8-11

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Magna Grecia filly. Very green and never involved when 7¼ lengths ninth of 14 in a C&D maiden on debut in August.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 6f Std 12015/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Dundalk?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20269th10/147%38%-0.09