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10

Spirit Of The Nite

2yo Colt · 9-0

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stable have had plenty of success with this family and he made an encouraging start when running on late to fill second spot in a Down Royal maiden (5f) 2 weeks ago. Appeals as the type to build on that and he's one for the shortlist.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 1264/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85