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12

Tavernise

2yo Filly · 8-13

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled March 25. Earthlight filly who shaped well at long odds when fifth of 18 in a Curragh maiden (6f) 33 days ago (Kindacan placed third), a big move into contention catching up with her close home. Another who is likely to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 6f Goo 12516/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20265th50/10%76%+0.76