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The Pipeman

2yo Gelding · 9-8

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cotai Glory colt who made an encouraging start to his career when second in a Navan maiden (6f) in July. Failed to progress but far from disgraced when seventh of 17 at the Curragh since and no surprise to see him thereabouts on all-weather debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12711/07C8C8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 6f Goo 13416/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh?7th7th0
2026-07-11Navan?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -86.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20262nd16/116%94%+0.78
16/08/20267th5/174%65%-0.09