2

Thumama Glory

2yo Gelding · 9-8

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cotai Glory gelding. Dam, 7.4f winner, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Vange. Offered something to work on when twelfth of 16 in a Curragh maiden (7f) 4 weeks ago, fading. However, will make little appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 13322/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Curragh?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/202612th150/10%27%+0.27