7
Battle Borne
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 65
Dundalk · Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA60 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA64 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA64 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA70 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA71 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 06/03/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 23% | -0.19 |
| 20/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 12/04/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 18/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 02/09/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |