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Faoladh

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 69

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful at Down Royal in May and back to winning ways in 13-runner handicap at Galway (7f, good) last month, just holding on. Runner-up went in next time but was unable to cash in on just a 1 lb higher mark at Laytown, weakening late. Should be a factor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA68 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 68 · 1m50y Yie 138 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 68 par25/0468OR 68BHA68 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 68 · 1m Gd 138 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 68 parBHA67 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 137 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 67 par29/0567OR 67BHA72 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 72 · 7f45y Goo 142 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 72 parBHA72 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 142 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 72 par8/0772OR 72BHA71 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 71 · 7f50y Goo 141 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 71 parBHA68 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 68 · 1m123y Yie 138 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 68 par28/0768OR 68BHA68 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 68 · 7f Yie 138 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 68 parBHA69 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Std 168 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 69 par10/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 8th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10LaytownBHA695th5th0
2026-08-01GalwayBHA681st1st0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA6814th14th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA7113th13th0
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA729th9th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA726th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0418/0628/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20266th11/271%64%-0.07
15/05/20263rd7/282%86%+0.04
29/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
18/06/20266th9/276%64%-0.12
08/07/20269th12/137%43%+0.06
16/07/202613th7/163%8%-0.55
28/07/202614th33/10%19%+0.19
01/08/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
10/09/20265th11/271%56%-0.15