12
Little Wing
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 63
Dundalk · Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap · 7f
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 12.5)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA68 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 14-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/08/2026 | 21st | 66/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |