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16

Prince Andorra

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 61

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap · 7f

#17

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Minor promise only so far so much more needed now handicapping. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1346/03C8C8 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f205y Sft 13411/04C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 13418/05C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-18Roscommon?6th6th0
2026-04-11Bellewstown?5th5th0
2026-03-06Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0311/0418/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -23.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20267th125/10%54%+0.54
11/04/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
18/05/20266th12/137%44%+0.08