6

Send Harry

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 66

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won this race a year ago from 1 lb higher. Made the frame in handicap at Leopardstown in June and minor event at Limerick in July and while below that level since, this has likely been the target ahead of all-weather return. Major claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA67 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 67 · 7f Std 134 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 67 par19/0967OR 67BHA72 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 72 · 7f Std 141 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 72 parBHA75 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 75 · 6f Gd 145 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 75 par4/0575OR 75BHA74 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 74 · 7f Sft 124 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 74 parBHA71 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 71 · 7f45y Goo 141 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 71 par18/0671OR 71BHA74 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f150y Gd 136 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 74 parBHA73 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 73 · 7f Yie 133 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 73 par28/0773OR 73BHA72 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 72 parBHA68 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 22 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 130 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 68 par9/0968OR 68projClass-projected finish: 5th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA6811th11th0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA725th5th0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA739th9th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA744th4th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA712nd2nd0
2026-05-19CorkBHA746th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0919/0528/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
12/11/20252nd5/287%92%+0.05
04/05/202610th16/116%53%+0.37
19/05/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
18/06/20262nd11/142%93%+0.51
11/07/20264th5/174%70%-0.04
28/07/20269th14/126%43%+0.17
07/08/20265th7/163%64%+0.00
09/09/202611th10/147%52%+0.05