5

Slight Of Foot

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 70

Dundalk · Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Turned in his best effort of the season in a first-time hood when third of 15 in claimer at Gowran (1m, good to firm, 28/1) last month, never nearer. Backed that up returned to handicap company at Navan and he can be a factor if coping with this return to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 16/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 13316/0824 @ Kempton 18/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f Sta 1304 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12917/0444 @ Kempton 27/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 77 · 7f Sta 128 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Ffos Las 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 7f80y Sft 124 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 75 par17/064OR 75BHA73 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 73 · 7f Yie 133 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 73 parC7 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 136 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 70 par7/08C7OR 70C7 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 66 · 1m Goo 135 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 66 parBHA73 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 73 · 1m20y Goo 128 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 73 par2/0973OR 73projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA738th8th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-07Gowran Park?9th9th0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA7310th10th0
2026-06-17Ffos Las44th4th0
2026-05-27Kempton49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0827/057/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/202510th9/153%0%-0.53
18/09/20252nd10/147%92%+0.45
17/04/20266th11/486%38%-0.48
27/05/20269th15/261%33%-0.27
17/06/20264th15/261%40%-0.21
27/07/202610th50/10%36%+0.36
07/08/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
12/08/20263rd28/10%86%+0.86
02/09/20268th20/10%50%+0.50