5
Angel Of Promise
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 54
Dundalk · SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.8 /10 (raw 11.8)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA57 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA59 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA62 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA65 | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Curragh | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/06/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/06/2025 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 19% | +0.03 |
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 19/04/2026 | 20th | 33/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 03/06/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 31/08/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |