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2

Beat The Devil

4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 57

Dundalk · SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had a good spell here over the winter but has struggled for form since, though returns to all-weather on a handy mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m4f Std 140 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 60 par11/0260OR 60BHA64 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m Std 134 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 63 · 1m2f150y Std 133 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 63 par20/0363OR 63BHA63 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m4f Std 133 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 63 · 1m Goo 123 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 63 par12/0463OR 63C8 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 153C8 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 16112/07C8BHA62 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 62 · 6f GF 122 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 18th of 27 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 132 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 62 par22/0862OR 62projClass-projected finish: 13th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22CurraghBHA6218th18th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA626th6th0
2026-07-12Sligo?7th7th0
2026-06-14Downpatrick?9th9th0
2026-04-12LeopardstownBHA6313th13th0
2026-04-01DundalkBHA635th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/021/0412/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20264th6/492%77%-0.15
13/03/20267th15/261%54%-0.07
20/03/20262nd9/153%92%+0.39
01/04/20265th4/179%67%-0.12
12/04/202613th16/116%25%+0.09
14/06/20269th100/10%11%+0.11
12/07/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
09/08/20266th66/10%62%+0.62
22/08/202618th25/10%35%+0.35