17

Never Mind Me

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 51

Dundalk · SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

Went the wrong way for Andrew Balding and offered little returning from almost 2 years off here last month. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 19/02/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f1y Std 13019/0245 @ Kempton 02/03/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 1266 @ Chelmsford City 06/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 60 · 7f Std 135 · beat its mark06/06/2024 · OR 60 par6/066OR 606 @ Salisbury 16/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 6f213y Goo 132 · beat its mark16/06/2024 · OR 62 par5 @ Sandown 31/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 61 · 1m GF 126 · beat its mark31/07/2024 · OR 61 par31/075OR 615 @ Kempton 12/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m Sta 130 · beat its mark12/08/2024 · OR 63 par5 @ Lingfield 10/09/2024 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m1y Std 128 · beat its mark10/09/2024 · OR 63 par10/095OR 636 @ Bath 01/10/2024 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 61 · 1m Sft 133 · below its mark01/10/2024 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m Std 142 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 60 par15/0860OR 60projClass-projected finish: 16th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15DundalkBHA6013th13th0
2024-10-01Bath613th13th0
2024-09-10Lingfield59th9th0
2024-08-12Kempton57th7th0
2024-07-31Sandown52nd2nd0
2024-06-16Salisbury66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0216/0610/0915/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength4%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20245th5/174%33%-0.40
02/03/20247th15/261%45%-0.15
06/06/20242nd2/189%86%-0.04
16/06/20246th7/163%38%-0.26
31/07/20242nd12/137%89%+0.52
12/08/20247th10/382%33%-0.49
10/09/20249th9/153%20%-0.33
01/10/202413th40/10%8%+0.08
15/08/202613th80/10%8%+0.08