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4

Perfect Judgement

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 56

Dundalk · SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Three-time C&D winner who shaped as if still in good form when fifth at Navan 16 days ago. Mark has eased again and could be the answer on his return to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA76 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 76 · 7f Std 136 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 76 par6/0376OR 76C8 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m2f150y Std 136 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 73 parBHA70 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 70 · 1m Gd 140 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 70 par15/0570OR 70BHA67 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 67 · 1m1f210y Gd 137 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 67 parBHA64 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 64 · 1m Yie 134 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 64 par10/0664OR 64BHA62 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 62 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR 60 · 1m Goo 142 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 60 par22/0760OR 60BHA58 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 58 · 1m1f100y GF 140 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 58 parBHA59 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m20y Goo 141 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 59 par2/0959OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA595th5th0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA582nd2nd0
2026-07-22NaasBHA6015th15th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA625th5th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA647th7th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA677th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0328/0522/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
13/03/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
15/05/20267th18/15%57%+0.52
28/05/20267th25/10%60%+0.60
10/06/20267th18/15%57%+0.52
18/06/20265th5/174%73%-0.00
22/07/202615th8/158%18%-0.40
12/08/20262nd11/142%93%+0.51
02/09/20265th8/158%73%+0.15