11
Starflow
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 50
Dundalk · SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA45 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA47 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gowran Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Dundalk | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |