6
Daonethatgotaway
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73
Dundalk · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA66 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA70 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | BHA74 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA75 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA76 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Dundalk | BHA75 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |