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Diamond Exchange

4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 80

Dundalk · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f

#7

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a third win of 2026 at Naas early last month. Ran too badly to be true in the midst of an excellent season there (11f, good to firm) since but can bounce back quickly (successful only previous all-weather start here back in January).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 1m2f96y Gd 129 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 81 par21/06C8OR 81C8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f150y Std 130 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 76 parBHA76 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f Yie 126 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 76 par15/0476OR 76BHA77 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 77 · 1m2f Gd 137 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 77 parBHA81 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 81 · 1m1f Sft 141 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 81 par4/0681OR 81BHA81 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 81 · 1m2f GF 141 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 81 parBHA80 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f88y Gd 132 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 80 par14/0780OR 80BHA79 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 79 · 1m2f184y Goo 139 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 79 parBHA82 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m2f110y Goo 126 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 82 par23/0882OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA828th8th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA791st1st0
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA805th5th0
2026-06-27CurraghBHA817th7th0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA818th8th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA771st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0615/0514/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
09/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/04/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
15/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/06/20268th11/271%50%-0.21
27/06/20267th11/271%45%-0.26
14/07/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
03/08/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
23/08/20268th4/179%13%-0.66