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7

Trishuli River

6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 73

Dundalk · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four-time course winner who was in good form here last winter. Hasn't looked close to capitalising on lower turf mark in recent starts, though. Better showing anticipated back on synthetics.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA69 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m2f150y Std 139 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 69 par21/1169OR 69BHA69 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 139 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 69 parBHA74 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m4f Std 134 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 74 par9/0174OR 74BHA74 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · below its mark28/01/2026 · OR 74 parBHA73 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 73 · 1m4f Std 133 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 73 par20/0273OR 73BHA55 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 55 · 1m4f180y Gd 137 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 55 parBHA55 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 55 · 1m4f37y Gd 137 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 55 par3/0755OR 55BHA52 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 52 · 1m4f179y Goo 134 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA48 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 21 · OR 48 · 1m2f10y Gd 132 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 48 par5/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA4811th11th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA528th8th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA5514th14th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA5510th10th0
2026-02-20DundalkBHA733rd3rd0
2026-01-28DundalkBHA742nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1128/013/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20255th16/583%69%-0.14
12/12/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
09/01/20265th5/174%64%-0.10
28/01/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
20/02/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04
15/05/202610th13/266%50%-0.16
03/07/202614th10/147%13%-0.34
20/07/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
05/09/202611th12/137%50%+0.13