8

Wandering Rocks

7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73

Dundalk · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed here back in the spring but last seen pulled up in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe 4 months ago. Handicapper given him a squeak but others more appealing on balance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA116 @ Killarney 18/07/2024 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 116 · 2m4f85y Goo 168 · below its mark18/07/2024 · OR 116 par18/07116OR 116BHA114 @ Wexford 09/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 114 · 2m160y Goo 168 · below its mark09/08/2024 · OR 114 parC0 @ Sligo 02/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f120y Gd 1662/10C?C0 @ Punchestown 16/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m136y Goo 166BHA77 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m4f Std 137 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 77 par9/0177OR 77BHA78 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m4f Std 130 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 78 parBHA77 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m4f Std 137 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 77 par20/0277OR 77BHA76 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 1m4f Std 126 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 76 parBHA75 @ Killarney 12/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 2m182y Gd 165 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 75 par12/0575OR 75projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA1080
2026-05-12KillarneyBHA758th8th0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA763rd3rd0
2026-02-20DundalkBHA775th5th0
2026-01-30DundalkBHA787th7th0
2026-01-09DundalkBHA774th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0716/1020/0212/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/202410th18/15%36%+0.30
09/08/202410th10/147%0%-0.47
02/10/20243rd22/10%67%+0.67
16/10/20249th33/10%27%+0.27
09/01/20264th66/10%73%+0.73
30/01/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
20/02/20265th25/10%56%+0.56
23/04/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
12/05/20268th22/10%13%+0.13