8

Aiteall

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 54

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60) · 1m 2f 150y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€400,000 son of Wootton Bassett. Fared no better for the addition of a tongue strap/switch to handicap at Cork (1m) last time (again friendless in the betting). Foolish to totally discount given his pedigree/connections.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 10.8)

Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1346/08C8C8 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 13415/08C8C8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13420/08C8BHA60 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 60 · 1m Yie 142 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 60 par30/0860OR 60projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA6014th14th0
2026-08-20Leopardstown?10th10th0
2026-08-15Tramore?6th6th0
2026-08-06Leopardstown?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0815/0820/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/202613th16/116%8%-0.08
15/08/20266th80/10%44%+0.44
20/08/202610th200/10%25%+0.25
30/08/202614th40/10%13%+0.13