12
Coul Dore
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 48
Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60) · 1m 2f 150y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA51 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | BHA53 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA53 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA46 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | BHA48 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/10/2025 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/11/2025 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 27% | -0.55 |
| 15/08/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 15% | -0.27 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |