13
Onyeisi
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 48
Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60) · 1m 2f 150y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA54 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | BHA55 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | BHA55 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA56 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA58 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA58 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 18/05/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 22/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |