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15

Signor Ferrari

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 58

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60) · 1m 2f 150y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner here in early-2025. Sent off favourite on third start back from an absence at Punchestown 3 days ago, finishing 3 lengths fifth to Chloe's Boy. Respected back on the all-weather. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Dundalk 14/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 60 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · beat its mark14/01/2025 · OR 60 par14/0160OR 60BHA65 @ Dundalk 14/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 65 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · beat its mark14/02/2025 · OR 65 parBHA72 @ Dundalk 21/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 72 · 1m2f150y Std 149 · below its mark21/02/2025 · OR 72 par21/0272OR 72C8 @ Dundalk 14/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · below its mark14/03/2025 · OR 72 parC7 @ Dundalk 28/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 71 · 7f Std 134 · below its mark28/03/2025 · OR 71 par28/03C7OR 71C7 @ Tipperary 27/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 68 · 1m1f Yie 132 · beat its mark27/05/2025 · OR 68 parBHA61 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m1f135y Goo 132 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 61 par20/0761OR 61BHA61 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 61 · 1m3f Goo 131 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 61 parBHA58 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m1f30y Goo 140 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 58 par15/0958OR 58projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15PunchestownBHA585th5th0
2026-08-23NaasBHA615th5th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA616th6th0
2025-05-27Tipperary?3rd3rd0
2025-03-28Dundalk?4th4th0
2025-03-14Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0114/0320/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
14/02/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
21/02/20256th4/179%62%-0.17
14/03/20257th6/168%25%-0.43
28/03/20254th5/287%67%-0.20
27/05/20253rd15/261%85%+0.24
20/07/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
23/08/20265th14/126%73%+0.47
15/09/20265th3/184%69%-0.15