2

Syosset

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 58

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60) · 1m 2f 150y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came in this grade here (1½m) last November. Arrives fit from a spell over hurdles (has been in reasonable heart) and is weighted to be competitive on return to the Flat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13924/10C8BHA53 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 53 · 1m4f Std 136 · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 53 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 59 · 1m4f Std 141 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 59 par21/1159OR 59BHA59 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m4f Std 141 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 59 parBHA84 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 84 · 1m7f204y Gd 152 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 84 par6/0784OR 84BHA85 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 85 · 2m150y Gd 157 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 85 parBHA88 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 88 · 2m1f Goo 156 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 88 par3/0888OR 88BHA92 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 92 · 2m Gd 160 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 92 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 96 · 2m145y Gd 156 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 96 par8/094OR 96projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee44th4th0
2026-08-08KilbegganBHA923rd3rd0
2026-08-03CorkBHA882nd2nd0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA852nd2nd0
2026-07-06RoscommonBHA843rd3rd0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA597th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/106/033/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend -9.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/202510th300/10%31%+0.31
14/11/20251st50/10%100%+1.00
21/11/20253rd7/163%85%+0.21
06/03/20267th9/153%54%+0.01
06/07/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
23/07/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
03/08/20262nd7/163%93%+0.30
08/08/20263rd7/491%83%-0.07
08/09/20264th4/179%40%-0.39