IvyArcIvyArc
10

Without Love

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 48

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60) · 1m 2f 150y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened his account over C&D in January. Nearly doubled his tally at Limerick earlier in the summer. Beaten 2½ lengths in Down Royal handicap latest and looks on a potentially handy mark if recapturing his best on all-weather return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA45 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 45 · 1m2f150y Std 125 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 45 par30/0145OR 45BHA49 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 129 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 130 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 49 par6/0349OR 49BHA49 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 49 · 1m4f37y Gd 131 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 49 par3/0749OR 49BHA52 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 52 · 1m4f65y Gd 134 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA52 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m5f56y Yie 134 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 52 par5/0852OR 52BHA51 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 22 · OR 51 · 1m6f Goo 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 51 parBHA49 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 49 · 1m4f194y Goo 131 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 49 par4/0949OR 49projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA496th6th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA518th8th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA526th6th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA522nd2nd0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA492nd2nd0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA4912th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0113/035/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
11/02/20263rd3/184%85%+0.00
06/03/20264th10/382%77%-0.06
13/03/202612th10/382%15%-0.67
03/07/20262nd18/15%93%+0.88
11/07/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
05/08/20266th3/184%62%-0.23
27/08/20268th7/282%67%-0.15
04/09/20266th5/174%55%-0.19