1

Ard Ri Na Heireann

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y

#11

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Tailed off in a bumper at Punchestown (2m) in May. Similar story on Flat debut at the Curragh last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.5 /10 (raw 13.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 02/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 1622/05C?C8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 14122/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Curragh?12th12th0
2026-05-02Punchestown?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/202615th66/10%7%+0.07
22/08/202612th200/10%0%0.00