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6

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3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 71

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Borderline fairly useful effort when beaten 3¾ lengths here (1m) second time up. Didn't build on that on qualifying run at Leopardstown (9f) subsequently, though was sat close to one who did too much in front. Should fare better in low-grade handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR - · 6f63y Goo 1343/06C8C8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m Std 13412/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1346/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Leopardstown?5th5th0
2026-07-12Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-06-03Curragh?18th18th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0612/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +37.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/202618th18/15%0%-0.05
12/07/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
06/08/20265th33/10%69%+0.69