10

Brigids Charm

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped like one for handicaps when beaten 11 lengths in 7f maiden here (80/1) on debut, for all this is a markedly longer trip (dam stayed 10.5f).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 12915/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20267th80/10%54%+0.54