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2

Coolnagrattan

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 71

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped well to hit the frame in Punchestown bumper/Roscommon maiden (1½m) earlier in the season. Below form at longish odds both starts since (not seen to best effect latest). Now drops back in distance, and he'll likely have better opportunities in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 15513/05C?C8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f17y Goo 13530/06C8C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f43y Yie 16629/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f17y Goo 14331/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?8th8th0
2026-07-29Galway?12th12th0
2026-06-30Roscommon?3rd3rd0
2026-05-13Punchestown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0530/0629/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20264th22/10%75%+0.75
30/06/20263rd5/174%85%+0.11
29/07/202612th33/10%35%+0.35
31/08/20268th66/10%50%+0.50