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11

Pattyandselma

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to be ordinary and looked one for the longer term when down the field on debut at Navan (1m, 250/1).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 1292/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/202610th250/10%25%+0.25