5

Set To Win

5yo Mare · 9-9

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y

#9

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Timeform

Commentary

Offered little in pair of maidens 28 months apart.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.5 /10 (raw 13.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 05/06/2024 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 6f63y Goo 1295/06C8C8 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR - · 1m4f Sft 1378/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Galway?15th15th0
2024-06-05Curragh?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -22.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/202412th150/10%35%+0.35
08/09/202615th300/10%13%+0.13