9
Trustmore
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 70
Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden · 1m 2f 150y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA73 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |