4

Ashida

3yo Filly · 9-2

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fifth of 7 in maiden at this C&D (25/1) 14 days ago. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1284/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20265th28/10%33%+0.33