2

Bold Skitt

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 37

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, first run since leaving R. R. Sage when fifth of 11 in maiden at Fairview (5f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Makes all weather debut. Booking of Strydom a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 07/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f169y GS 1327/03C8C8 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1324/06C8C8 @ Turffontein 27/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13227/06C8C8 @ Turffontein 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13221/07C8C8 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13211/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?5th5th0
2026-07-21Turffontein?8th8th0
2026-06-27Turffontein?12th12th0
2026-06-04Turffontein?7th7th0
2026-03-07Turffontein?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/034/0627/0621/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20267th66/10%25%+0.25
04/06/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
27/06/202612th66/10%0%0.00
21/07/20268th66/10%0%0.00
11/09/20265th66/10%60%+0.60