3
Kitana's Joy
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 44
Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |