1
Bad Medicine
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 99
Fairview · Betway Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 2f 206y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 13% | -0.78 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |