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5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 80

Fairview · Betway Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 2f 206y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Creditable 3 lengths third of 7 to Bad Medicine in minor event (11/2) at Fairview (9.9f, good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC4 @ Kenilworth 06/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f95y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS6/12C4C0 @ Fairview 29/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 121C0 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 12730/01C?C5 @ Fairview 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f205y 128C0 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f203y Gd 1193/04C?C5 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f205y Std 121C0 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f200y Std 12110/07C?C5 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Sft 128C5 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 12128/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-08-07Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-05-29Fairview?4th4th0
2026-04-03Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-03-06Fairview?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/126/0310/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20256th22/10%17%+0.17
29/12/202510th20/10%0%0.00
30/01/20267th7/163%25%-0.38
06/03/20269th14/126%43%+0.17
03/04/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
29/05/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
10/07/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
07/08/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
28/08/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07