4

World Choice

4yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 69

Fairview · Betway Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 2f 206y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 5/1, fifth of 7 in minor event at Fairview (9.9f, good to soft) 7 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13213/02C8C7 @ Fairview 10/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132C0 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 12310/04C?C1 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f206y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13410/07C6C6 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128C6 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13428/08C6C6 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Std 126C5 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 12311/09C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?5th5th0
2026-09-09Fairview?3rd5th1
2026-08-28Fairview?7th9th2
2026-07-24Fairview?7th9th1
2026-07-10Fairview?4th6th2
2026-05-08Fairview?2nd-2th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/028/0528/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -14.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
10/03/20265th28/10%64%+0.64
10/04/20262nd33/10%86%+0.86
08/05/20262nd66/10%83%+0.83
10/07/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
24/07/20267th13/266%33%-0.32
28/08/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
09/09/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
11/09/20265th9/276%33%-0.43