5

Blue Crystal

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 30

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 14 Flat runs. 25/2, seventh of 8 in maiden at Fairview (9.9f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Booking of Strydom a plus. Plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 06/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m99y Gd 1326/03C8C8 @ Vaal 28/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132C8 @ Vaal 23/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 13223/10C8C8 @ Vaal 11/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132C8 @ Vaal 08/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 1328/01C8C8 @ Vaal 22/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13217/07C8C8 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 120C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 12228/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?7th7th0
2026-08-07Fairview?7th7th0
2026-07-17Fairview?9th9th0
2026-01-22Vaal?9th9th0
2026-01-08Vaal?11th11th0
2025-12-11Vaal?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0311/1217/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
28/08/20254th28/10%50%+0.50
23/10/20259th14/126%0%-0.26
11/12/20259th50/10%20%+0.20
08/01/202611th100/10%23%+0.23
22/01/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
17/07/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
07/08/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
28/08/20267th10/147%14%-0.33