2

Capranica

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 60

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 10 Flat runs. 9/2, second of 8 in maiden at Fairview (9.9f, good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 09/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1329/07C8C8 @ Durbanville 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 126C8 @ Kenilworth 08/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1228/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 129C8 @ Kenilworth 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 13216/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 121C8 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f205y Std 12624/07C8C8 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f98y 132C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 12928/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-08-10Fairview?5th5th0
2026-07-24Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Kenilworth?8th8th0
2026-05-16Kenilworth?5th5th0
2026-04-27Kenilworth?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0727/0424/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20255th8/158%56%-0.02
25/10/20258th5/174%0%-0.74
08/11/20258th40/10%30%+0.30
27/04/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
16/05/20265th28/10%50%+0.50
02/06/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
24/07/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
10/08/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
28/08/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07